Strategies · on Gecko’s tip list
Volume SurgeTechnicalSwing
EVS Drift · 5× normal volume, up 3%+ · hold 20 days
Today: Tip generation. Gecko raises tips from this strategy and tests them on a paper (pretend-money) account. Strategies loop back from paper trading to be refined, dropped or replaced - only those that pass every check reach live trading.
Buys after a share trades at least five times its usual volume on a rising day, and holds for four weeks.
The idea
An exceptional burst of trading on an up day usually means news that big investors are acting on. The price tends to keep drifting in the same direction for weeks as the rest of the market catches up.
Which shares
Gecko’s original 115 stocks.
When it buys
- A share trades at least 5 times its average volume of the last 50 days.
- It closes at least 3% higher on the day.
- Buy at the next morning’s open.
When it sells
- Sell at the close 20 trading days later.
- Protective stop: 2.5 times the share’s average daily range below the signal day.
How often it tips
Counted from the backtest’s trades, 2016-2026, on the shares above. A few more tips arrive than trades: a signal on a share already held is still sent, marked as skipped.
Results so far
Backtest #289 - CFDs on a £10,000 account risking 2% a trade, with commission and financing, before bid-ask spreads.
- Forward testing
- Rules frozen 2 October 2026 - forward tracking counts every signal since.
- Paper trading
- Paper orders are placed on a click. No closed paper trades yet.
- Live trading
- Not live.
Worth knowing
- On 143 stocks it wasn’t developed on, it made nothing - its edge may be partly luck in the original stock list.
- It overlaps with Big Up Day, which trades similar events better.